Search found 4443 matches

by Bill Mullins
November 13th, 2017, 6:18 pm
Forum: Buzz
Topic: Tommy Wonder's "Ring, Watch & Wallet" on eBay
Replies: 2
Views: 372

Re: Tommy Wonder's "Ring, Watch & Wallet" on eBay

Look at the beads on the back of the watch -- nothing left to chance, here . . .
by Bill Mullins
November 13th, 2017, 6:15 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

It comes down to showing contact with McKinney be it by spatial proximity Edwin S. Andrews worked at the C&NW railroad, whose Chicago depot was just a mile north of Printer's Row. Sounds plenty proximate to me. Houdini came through Chicago regularly, and played at the Powers Theater (on Randolp...
by Bill Mullins
November 13th, 2017, 5:05 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Jonathan Townsend wrote:Looking back a little further we have the mis-printed spot cards ... no fuss then to show an ace and two threes way back then.


I don't think anyone used mis-spotted cards to gimmick a monte display until DeLand's "Pickitout", in 1908.
by Bill Mullins
November 13th, 2017, 4:54 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Isn't there the story that Canada Bill offered to pay the railroad agents for the right for him to play on the trains exclusively, with his promise that he would only cheat people of the cloth? Yes, Jack, there is indeed such a story. It first appeared in print in an article entitled, "Three K...
by Bill Mullins
November 12th, 2017, 9:48 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

But a person who wants to print a book will make their own opportunity -- it doesn't have to pre-exist. True, it doesn't have to pre-exist, but in either case, if it pre-existed or was created, you have to show that Erdnase was at the scene of the 'crime', otherwise you cannot 'convict beyond a rea...
by Bill Mullins
November 12th, 2017, 3:26 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

But a person who wants to print a book will make their own opportunity -- it doesn't have to pre-exist.
by Bill Mullins
November 12th, 2017, 1:03 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Then we also need Erdnase to have some kind of connection with McKinney where the book was printed. Why in the world is that the case? If this were true in general, then the only people who could self-publish books would be those who had a connection to a printer. There are a number of self publish...
by Bill Mullins
November 12th, 2017, 12:19 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Here's another thing about the Gallaway gambling books. The Marshall-Gardner correspondence says (in a Jan 2 1957 letter) that Griffiths bought the 1st ed. Expert during a "recent excursion" -- presumably very late in 1956. It also says that Gallaway's widow sold his library after his deat...
by Bill Mullins
November 11th, 2017, 11:40 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Tom -- I'm sure you know this as well as I do, but everything I've ever heard on the subject is summarized [poorly] a single footnote in The Man Who Was Erdnase , p. 390: Letter, Marshall to Gardner, 2 Jan 1957. Local Chicago amateur magician William C. Griffiths bought a group of magic and gambling...
by Bill Mullins
November 11th, 2017, 1:12 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Found another, Jan 21 1891:
PLAYING CARDS
For fifteen ceents in postage, sent to P. S. EUSTIS, Gen. Pas. Agent C.B.& Q.R.R., Chicago, Ill., you can obtain a pack of best quality playing cards.
by Bill Mullins
November 11th, 2017, 12:47 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

The Dalrymple cartoon which some suppose to picture W. F. Sanders appears in the Jan 7, 1891 issue of Puck . Three weeks later is this interesting classified ad : Fine Playing Cards Mention PUCK and send ten (10) cents in stamps or coin to JOHN SEBASTIAN, Gen'l Tk't and Pass. Ag't, CHICAGO, ROCK ISL...
by Bill Mullins
November 10th, 2017, 11:20 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

If you were seriously trying to hide your identity- not so the public doesnt know but so anyone you may know personally doesnt figure it out- would you just reverse your name? Why are you assuming this is what Erdnase was trying to do? It could be that he didn't really care, and it's just an accide...
by Bill Mullins
November 10th, 2017, 5:59 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Richard -- Robert F. Foster has been proposed as a candidate, based on a perceived similarity of writing styles to Erdnase. If you accept him as "viable", then he'd certainly have some relevant skills, having written multiple books on card games, having been a member of the Parent Assembly...
by Bill Mullins
November 10th, 2017, 12:24 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Tom -- I did make a mistake in the numbers I originally wrote. Where it says 0.014, it should say 0.223. Thanks for holding my feet to the fire. And yes, low numbers like that do seem counter-intuitive, but that's the nature of the Poisson distribution. He'd use it 3 times 23% of the time, and 77% o...
by Bill Mullins
November 9th, 2017, 11:50 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Burrows Delta requires the use of the most frequently used words in the texts to be examined. Again incorrect. It does not require the use of the most frequent words. Burrows, from his seminal 2002 paper: "The first step in the procedure is to establish a frequency-hierarchy for the most commo...
by Bill Mullins
November 9th, 2017, 2:59 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Bill Mullins wrote:Speaking of Dalrymple, Heritage Auctions currently has a piece of his art, used in Puck, up for auction.


Sold for $191 (including auction premium).
by Bill Mullins
November 9th, 2017, 2:24 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

There is no correct or incorrect direction. Both directions are valid due to the symmetry of the problem. The Erdnase/Teale/Gallaway case can only be applied in the direction I did, because in the other the MoWa method is not defined due to the Gallaway frequency being zero. In the direction it can...
by Bill Mullins
November 9th, 2017, 2:10 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

You are looking at fine grained symmetry which is immaterial here. As I wrote earlier, you can apply the math, but you do not understand what it calculates. The method is obviously symmetric because if "A wrote B" then it follows that "B wrote A". That the specific numbers for e...
by Bill Mullins
November 8th, 2017, 1:33 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

If you do not see the symmetry in their method, that it has nothing to do with which text is known and which text is unknown, then you do not understand the method. It comes down to the symmetry of if "A wrote B" then also "B wrote A". The method is not symmetrical, and you can ...
by Bill Mullins
November 8th, 2017, 12:47 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

The MoWa paper does not say you must start at the known texts and then calculate the probability to the unknown. Their paper does not say this, but their book, which amplifies the concepts, methods, and results initially described in the paper, explicitly says start with the known texts. (see Chap ...
by Bill Mullins
November 7th, 2017, 5:42 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Tom Sawyer wrote:Pretty sure that's supposed to repesent Levi P. Morton, who (as everybody knows) was Vice President of the United States at the time of the cartoon.


Everybody but me . . . .
by Bill Mullins
November 7th, 2017, 3:54 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

At the top left of the Dalrymple cartoon is a man sticking his head out of a tent, named "Morton" (possibly "Horton"). I haven't been able to figure out who he is. There was no one in Congress by that name in 1891. Anyone have any ideas? There's another reason to believe that &qu...
by Bill Mullins
November 7th, 2017, 3:00 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

For what it's worth, one of the co-authors of the Mosteller-Wallace paper we've been discussing died only last month . Perhaps "Montana" was not intended to be W.F. Sanders, but it does look at least a little like him, and anyone who glances at a photo of W.F. Sanders and looks at that car...
by Bill Mullins
November 7th, 2017, 10:47 am
Forum: General
Topic: Mickey MacDougall Radio Interview from 1938
Replies: 5
Views: 327

Re: Mickey MacDougall Radio Interview from 1938

Jack Pots. The story starts at the bottom of the page.
by Bill Mullins
November 6th, 2017, 5:51 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

One can ask the question of authorship in either direction. You said that you did it exactly like MW, when in fact what you did was opposite to MW. That's what I was showing. You can start with Erdnase and then ask how likely is it that he would have authored another text. Or you can start with a c...
by Bill Mullins
November 6th, 2017, 3:01 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Political cartoons . . . are stylized art and not meant to be lifelike renditions. Except in this case, the cartoons of real people are lifelike renditions. (add to the list John James Ingalls, who is sprawled on the ground in front of the cannons.) Dalrymple did accurate likenesses when he was dep...
by Bill Mullins
November 5th, 2017, 10:17 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

lybrary wrote:
Bill Mullins wrote:You're doing it wrong.

You should tell this Mosteller-Wallace and the entire stylometry community who has followed their lead.


I'm not saying that Mosteller and Wallace were wrong. I'm saying that you are wrong. The data about "(?)" doesn't support the conclusion you are drawing.
by Bill Mullins
November 5th, 2017, 10:06 am
Forum: Magic History and Anecdotes
Topic: Daring Escapes and Sensational Illusions
Replies: 3
Views: 385

Re: Daring Escapes and Sensational Illusions

It's good enough that it should be brought up more than once.
by Bill Mullins
November 5th, 2017, 1:03 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

The Dalrymple cartoon has, on the left side, named depictions of Republican senators who, for various reasons, supported the Free Silver movement. They were allied with Western mining interests who profited from the mining of silver. I don't think there is any great reason to assume that the image o...
by Bill Mullins
November 5th, 2017, 1:32 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

However, when we take a more careful quantitative look it turns out this actually speaks against Teale, even though he has '(?)' in his text. Here is the data: - Erdnase: (?) appears 3 times in a text of 52k words. - Teale: (?) appears 58 times in a text of 85k words. - Gallaway: (?) appears 0 time...
by Bill Mullins
November 3rd, 2017, 11:16 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

As Mosteller-Wallace have argued words can essentially be modeled statistically as a Poisson process. In Teale and in Erdnase, "(?)" is not a word, but is punctuation used to indicate that the preceding word is being used ironically. Why do you proceed as if a statistic of word usage woul...
by Bill Mullins
November 3rd, 2017, 5:56 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

but when you throw in the Dalrymple argument (re the political cartoon) Tom, from your work on the Godwin blog, I know you are a student of illustration. Don't you think (as I do) that the "Montana" character in the Doomed cartoon from Puck is merely a personification of the mining intere...
by Bill Mullins
November 3rd, 2017, 5:30 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Speaking of Dalrymple, Heritage Auctions currently has a piece of his art, used in Puck, up for auction.

Some of his art resonates even today.
by Bill Mullins
November 3rd, 2017, 10:44 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Recall also the speculation that the magician who traveled in America under the names "Carabaraba" and "St. Jean" was in fact Charlier. For reasons I should write up some time, I don't believe this magician was Charlier. But if he was, Erdnase could have met him and learned the s...
by Bill Mullins
November 2nd, 2017, 6:04 pm
Forum: Buzz
Topic: New Six-Part Video Interview tih Jim Steinmeyer at GeniiOnline
Replies: 5
Views: 701

Re: New Six-Part Video Interview tih Jim Steinmeyer at GeniiOnline

Thanks for a direct answer to the question.
by Bill Mullins
November 2nd, 2017, 12:11 am
Forum: Buzz
Topic: New John Thompson Book
Replies: 34
Views: 3029

Re: New John Thompson Book

I have seen many beautiful magic related book plates over the years, none would I call a gummed label, but tiny works of art. One could be created for such a worthy subject as this and would be even more icing on the cake so to speak. I for one would love to have this as part of the package and it ...
by Bill Mullins
November 2nd, 2017, 12:00 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

Proofreading, a series of essays by Horace Teall. Published by The Inland Printer, 1899, in Chicago.

Teall wrote a column on proofing for The Inland Printer.
by Bill Mullins
October 31st, 2017, 3:38 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

lybrary wrote: I have a theory . . . .


So did Miss Ann Elk.
by Bill Mullins
October 31st, 2017, 9:54 am
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

When I asked the question, I didn't realize that there was an earlier edition than the one that was most likely printed by McKinney (scroll back to the front cover of this 2nd edition; it is in green cloth with the title printed in gold, like first editions of Erdnase). Since the copyright was regis...
by Bill Mullins
October 30th, 2017, 8:09 pm
Forum: General
Topic: ERDNASE
Replies: 5216
Views: 1861352

Re: ERDNASE

I tend to believe the reversal/anagram explanations for the pseudonym, I think that the real person who wrote the book and assumed the name Erdnase also had the initials SWE (although not necessarily in that particular order). Richard Hatch pointed out that what I said above would rule out reverse ...

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